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My coverage of Fitbit remained ongoing and public until Google's
purchase
of the company was complete.
I continue to cover Google in the private section of the website.
I originally classified FIT as moving from a Growth toward a GRoDT
stock, despite a fairly solid balance sheet. This is because I
saw fitness trackers as a dying device category, and the company's
ability to compete in more general purpose wearables as unproven.
Nonetheless, I projected that the company could design
best-in-class hardware, and I think the Ionic smart watch bears me
out on that point. Software is another matter, but the
acquisition of Pebble (amongst other) assets at VERY
favorable terms gave me hope on that front. Unfortunately, FitBit
really failed
to deliver in terms of software. My real-world research on
both the Ionic
and Versa
smartwatches enabled CrowdWisers to be way
out ahead in predicting the company's lackluster results as
it tried to maintain market share while developing partnerships
against competitors with deeper pockets. That in turn enabled a
profitable exit despite the failed growth story.
The situation after that led many to swing trade volatility in
FIT, but my
experience on Wall St. tells me that is a dangerous game
which, over the longer term, usually winds up benefiting Big Money
rather than individual investors. The limited volumes associated
with pre-merger arbitrage are an entirely different story, though,
and can lead to substantial opportunities of the sort that emerged
with INVN,
which is why my coverage always continues until a deal is actually
closed.
Updates: | ||
---|---|---|
+5 | Fitbit sold to Google and AMSC 2Q19 schedule | 09:29 01-Nov-19 |
+5 | Fitbit 3Q18 results | 16:37 31-Oct-18 |
-5 | Fitbit software outlook | 19:09 03-Dec-17 |
+5 | Fitbit Ionic, Flyer and Aria2 launch | 09:27 28-Aug-17 |