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Ebix started as a supplier of software and e-commerce
solutions to the insurance industry. However, it branched
aggressively into payment, logistics, e-learning, and travel
services. My interest began in late 2018 due to the high
(albeit debt-fueled) growth and heavy (50%+) exposure to India,
which I saw at the time as arguably the world's most attractive
emerging market.
Unfortunately,
that came with all sorts regulatory and geopolitical risks. I
was particularly critical of management in the wake of the
pandemic, even as Ebix was planning to IPO its EbixCash
subsidiary in India. By April of 2020, I began warning about
the debt time bomb in combination with
those moves. That pattern continued through the summer of 2023,
by which point the IPO was years behind schedule, and my view
was completely divergent with the market
valuation. The final nail for me came on the morning of October
2nd 2023, via a forbearance agreement with the
lenders. The market initially took that as a sign of relief,
but my base case was already that shareholders would be
completely wiped out, and that was eventually shown to be
correct. EBIX stands as an example of how early warning on
management BS can sometimes be the most valuable facet of this
service.
Updates: |
-2 |
eMagin defense contract, Nokia schedule and more | 11:09 27-Jul-20 |
?2 |
BGC 2Q20 schedule and more on India | 08:39 17-Jul-20 |
?2 |
Nokia, the pandemic and market pricing | 08:51 16-Jun-20 |
+2 |
Clearway near, BGC & Covanta far from the finish line, Fed could move it | 13:23 11-Jun-20 |
?3 |
Ebix, Yatra, Schlumberger and the virus | 09:57 21-May-20 |
?3 |
Ebix 1Q20 results | 13:16 11-May-20 |
?3 |
Ebix 1Q20 schedule and India health notes | 15:51 06-May-20 |
-2 |
market calendar and minor news | 09:42 15-Apr-20 |
?4 |
new Ebix CFO and debt profile | 20:40 08-Apr-20 |
-4 |
Senate deal, rebate rates, India lockdown, Schlumberger cutback | 09:14 25-Mar-20 |
+3 |
OMIBs from the Ebix C-Suite | 15:26 13-Mar-20 |
?3 |
Ebix 4Q19 results | 01:28 03-Mar-20 |
?4 |
Ebix 4Q19 schedule and reality shifts | 20:04 12-Feb-20 |
+3 |
EbixCash partners with MoneyGram and much more | 09:39 13-Jan-20 |
+2 |
macro, value and Nokia | 11:54 09-Jan-20 |
+2 |
Himax 4Q19 projection plus CES & more Ebix | 11:45 07-Jan-20 |
?2 |
looking through December with telecom dividends and Ebix | 17:59 21-Nov-19 |
+3 |
Ebix wins bus fire sale | 10:52 15-Nov-19 |
?3 |
Ebix 3Q19 results | 12:10 12-Nov-19 |
+2 |
macro and MACOM 4Q19 schedule | 11:32 30-Oct-19 |
?4 |
Ebix 3Q19 schedule & value down the macro path | 09:30 29-Oct-19 |
+3 |
Ebix Insurance JV license and macro data imminent | 10:00 28-Oct-19 |
?2 |
5G and value update | 08:27 15-Oct-19 |
+3 |
Ebix travel agreements and macro follow up | 11:42 08-Oct-19 |
?3 |
EbixCash acquires Cox & Kings business customers | 11:23 27-Sep-19 |
+3 |
EbixCash IPO progress, Shell 3Q19 schedule and more | 09:08 04-Sep-19 |
+2 |
Westport CFO, CUI OMIB, CTL dividend & more interesting notes | 20:03 22-Aug-19 |
?2 |
Ebix schedules 2Q19 report | 16:51 02-Aug-19 |
+3 |
Ebix finalizing Yatra buy | 08:31 19-Jul-19 |
+3 |
EbixCash IPO teased for 2Q20 | 09:48 18-Jun-19 |
-3 |
Ebix hit by trade wars and more nonsense | 14:56 17-Jun-19 |
+2 |
AMSC and Schlumberger schedule plus more on energy | 22:23 04-Jun-19 |
+2 |
MACOM OMIB, elections and trading the trade wars | 19:59 23-May-19 |
+3 |
Ebix 1Q19 results | 09:03 09-May-19 |
?2 |
Ebix schedules 1Q19 report | 09:28 02-May-19 |
+2 |
Ebix, Google and macro news | 09:19 19-Mar-19 |
?3 |
CUI 4Q18 schedule & Latest Ebix purchase | 10:33 11-Mar-19 |
+3 |
Ebix 4Q18 results | 12:45 01-Mar-19 |
?3 |
Ebix preview and MicroVision pilot LiDAR | 09:23 28-Feb-19 |
?3 |
the Ebix Indian buying spree continues | 10:51 13-Feb-19 |
?2 |
stock gyrations and valuations | 11:48 06-Feb-19 |
?2 |
Clearway schedules 4Q18 report and more | 10:06 31-Jan-19 |
+3 |
Ebix business update | 20:51 11-Jan-19 |
+3 |
Ebix & Resonant expand as U.S. federal shutdown continues | 10:05 02-Jan-19 |
+3 |
Ebix selects accounting firms | 07:47 28-Dec-18 |
?3 |
EBIX stock split shelved, new Indian bus contract | 13:58 21-Dec-18 |
+2 |
Ebix $100M buyback, CEO takes salary in stock | 10:58 12-Dec-18 |
+2 |
Vodafone and Ebix updates | 09:37 06-Dec-18 |
?3 |
Ebix split date plus BGC and wild macro thoughts | 07:39 21-Nov-18 |
+4 |
introducing Ebix | 17:06 16-Nov-18 |