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Ebix started as a supplier of software and e-commerce solutions to the insurance industry.  However, it branched aggressively into payment, logistics, e-learning, and travel services.  My interest began in late 2018 due to the high (albeit debt-fueled) growth and heavy (50%+) exposure to India, which I saw at the time as arguably the world's most attractive emerging market.  

Ebix stock chart through 2023Unfortunately, that came with all sorts regulatory and geopolitical risks.  I was particularly critical of management's in the wake of the pandemic, even as Ebix was planning to IPO its EbixCash payments IPO in India.  By April of 2020, I began warning about the debt time bomb in combination with those moves.  That pattern continued through the summer of 2023, by which point the IPO was years behind schedule, and my view was completely divergent with the market valuation.  The final nail for me came on the morning of October 2nd 2023, via a forbearance agreement with the lenders.  The market initially took that as a sign of relief, but my base case was already that shareholders would be completely wiped out, and that was eventually shown to be correct.  EBIX stands as an example of how early warning on managment BS can sometimes be the most valuable facet of this service.


Updates:
?5 Ebix denouement, service changes and more09:22 01-Jul-24
-8 Ebix bankruptcy and more08:58 20-Dec-23
-6 Ebix lender agreement & Energy Recovery 3Q23 schedule11:33 02-Oct-23
?4 Ebix CEO bonus and more about the BRICS10:59 26-Sep-23
?4 Ebix update, jobs & Polestar deliveries08:57 07-Jul-23
+6 EbixCash IPO gets SEBI clearance11:24 10-Apr-23
-4 Ebix CFO, New Fortress 1Q23 schedule and more08:50 10-Apr-23
-5 Ebix 4Q22 results08:00 15-Mar-23
-6 EBIX short report, a look at Fluence, and Fed follow up09:15 21-Jun-22
+4 Ebix red herring and more13:44 11-Mar-22
?4 Ebix 4Q21 schedule15:49 03-Mar-22
-4 Ebix 3Q21 results12:12 09-Nov-21
-5 Ebix auditor resigns17:48 24-Feb-21
?4 Ebix 3Q20 schedule and AMSC orders09:33 03-Nov-20
?4 Ebix 2Q20 schedule plus more Virtu and market thoughts10:28 03-Aug-20
?4 new Ebix CFO and debt profile20:40 08-Apr-20
-4 Senate deal, rebate rates, India lockdown, Schlumberger cutback09:14 25-Mar-20
?4 Ebix 4Q19 schedule and reality shifts20:04 12-Feb-20
?4 Ebix 3Q19 schedule & value down the macro path09:30 29-Oct-19
+4 introducing Ebix17:06 16-Nov-18