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Resonant 1Q19 results -2
17:41 08-May-19
The Resonant conference call has just concluded. Management
claims that XBAR is unique and outperforms state of the art
technology by a factor of 2 or 3, in-line with my initial
comparisons. This is supported by the technical stats
quoted for the n79 and now n77 band filters, which may be able to
be combined. Consequently, it projects doing a strategic deal on
the technology by the end of this quarter.
Current designs are supposed to ship millions of units in the
current quarter and tens of millions in the third quarter.
Management declined to provide revenue guidance, though. It did
reply that the royalty rate for the quarter was fairly steady at
9.25%.
All of this depends on a rebound in the Chinese telecom market,
but new products based on library designs should also materialize
more quickly than usual. The latest statements coming out of D.C.
and China indicate that deal should be cut this week, or else
$200b in tariffs will go into effect. Economic conditions in
China are providing leverage, but I don't give either side much
credibility. Parts revenue should be followed by software
licensing next year. Promises aren't enough though, and shares
are down over 8% after market. With an 11% net rebate, I'm not
sure that dip will last, but RESN remains a gamble on management's
projections coming true in the next two quarters.
Resonant has reported its results for the first quarter:
- a loss of 20 cents per share, which misses by a penny
- on $134K revenue, which misses by $204K
Resonant went through just over $6M for the quarter and has just over $16M left including the $1M from warrant exercise received this quarter. Management says it will secure its first XBAR customer engagement this quarter, after choosing and qualifying with its first foundry partner.
The conference call is beginning, but there may not be anything more to report. Dilution looks progressively more likely and it is the terms that will matter for its pricing.